Novazzano vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
60.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novazzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 2
NOV
48%
22%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
LUG
26%
22%
53%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
FCP
2 - 1
NOV
89%
8%
3%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 0
IBA
28%
22%
50%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 4
ECH
10%
14%
76%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 1
HER
42%
22%
36%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
HER
1 - 1
IBA
71%
17%
12%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
TAV
5 - 1
HER
28%
22%
50%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
HER
1 - 3
PER
81%
12%
7%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
FCS
4 - 0
HER
25%
21%
54%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -3 |