Novazzano vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
60%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novazzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
TAV
2 - 1
NOV
52%
22%
26%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
NOV
0 - 0
SAR
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
ESC
1 - 4
NOV
55%
21%
24%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
HER
3 - 1
IBA
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
LUG
2 - 2
HER
38%
22%
40%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
TAV
1 - 1
HER
31%
23%
46%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
HAU
1 - 5
HER
5%
10%
86%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
HER
0 - 1
ESC
64%
20%
17%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |