Novazzano vs FC Paradiso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.1%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
76.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novazzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
IBA
3 - 3
NOV
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 1
BRU
48%
22%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
NOV
3 - 1
FCA
42%
23%
35%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
TAV
2 - 0
NOV
71%
17%
13%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
PER
2 - 2
NOV
59%
19%
22%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Paradiso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
FCP
3 - 0
BRU
88%
8%
3%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
FCA
0 - 1
FCP
8%
15%
77%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
SAR
0 - 1
FCP
7%
14%
79%
|
46 | 17 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
FCP
3 - 1
WIL
87%
9%
4%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
HER
1 - 2
FCP
19%
23%
59%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |