Novazzano vs Emmenbrücke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
65.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novazzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2022 |
TAV
4 - 0
NOV
71%
18%
11%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 2
BRU
45%
24%
31%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
ESC
0 - 2
NOV
48%
22%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 2
MEN
27%
23%
50%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
IBA
3 - 2
NOV
44%
22%
34%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Emmenbrücke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
EMM
4 - 2
GOL
71%
15%
14%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
LUZ
1 - 2
EMM
23%
21%
56%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 1
EMM
17%
19%
64%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
EMM
1 - 4
PER
69%
17%
15%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
HER
0 - 4
EMM
34%
22%
44%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |