Novazzano vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
28.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novazzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
GOL
5 - 3
NOV
67%
16%
17%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 1
LUZ
45%
22%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
BRU
1 - 3
NOV
39%
23%
38%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 1
LUZ
34%
22%
44%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
FCS
3 - 2
NOV
39%
21%
40%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ASC
2 - 1
BRU
53%
23%
25%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
GOL
3 - 3
ASC
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
ASC
2 - 2
HOC
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
ASC
1 - 1
FCA
48%
22%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
GOL
6 - 0
ASC
82%
11%
7%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |