Novazzano vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
16.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novazzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 2
NOV
58%
19%
23%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
IBA
3 - 4
NOV
51%
22%
27%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 0
HER
22%
19%
60%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
TAV
2 - 1
NOV
52%
22%
26%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
NOV
0 - 0
SAR
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
ASC
2 - 2
IBA
35%
25%
41%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
HER
3 - 0
ASC
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2017 |
ASC
1 - 5
TAV
38%
25%
37%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
SAR
2 - 1
ASC
25%
23%
52%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ASC
0 - 3
ESC
50%
24%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -2 |