Melfi vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
30.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FCC
2 - 2
ASM
52%
26%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ASM
1 - 1
CAT
19%
27%
54%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
PAG
3 - 0
ASM
50%
27%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ASM
2 - 2
SIR
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FIA
1 - 0
ASM
66%
21%
13%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FRA
3 - 1
USV
64%
22%
15%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 1
LEC
10%
16%
74%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 0
FRA
77%
17%
6%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FRA
4 - 1
CAS
26%
26%
48%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
PAG
1 - 1
FRA
50%
27%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |