Melfi vs Vigor Lamezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
22.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SOR
3 - 1
ASM
62%
22%
16%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ASM
1 - 0
ISC
27%
27%
45%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 0
ASM
57%
24%
20%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ARZ
1 - 1
ASM
47%
25%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ASM
1 - 0
MES
32%
28%
40%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Vigor Lamezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
VIG
2 - 1
CAS
53%
25%
22%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
USP
0 - 2
VIG
39%
28%
33%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
VIG
1 - 2
MES
30%
28%
42%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
TER
3 - 0
VIG
62%
22%
16%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
VIG
1 - 1
RAA
54%
26%
20%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |