Melfi vs Vigor Lamezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.5%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
32%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
MON
1 - 1
ASM
59%
23%
18%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ASM
1 - 1
USV
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
RAA
1 - 0
ASM
20%
24%
56%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ASM
1 - 2
SSS
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
GEL
1 - 0
ASM
48%
27%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Vigor Lamezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
VIG
1 - 1
VAL
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
COS
1 - 0
VIG
49%
27%
24%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
VIG
0 - 3
PES
49%
26%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ACI
1 - 1
VIG
16%
26%
58%
|
50 | 17 | 33 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
VIG
2 - 1
ASA
54%
26%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |