Melfi vs Vico Equense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
GEL
1 - 0
ASM
61%
23%
16%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ASM
1 - 0
FCI
55%
24%
21%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
SSM
1 - 2
ASM
46%
26%
29%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ASM
2 - 0
MON
37%
26%
37%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SSC
3 - 2
ASM
55%
24%
20%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Vico Equense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
VIC
0 - 0
SSS
66%
21%
14%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
SIR
1 - 0
VIC
70%
19%
11%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
VIC
0 - 0
ASN
71%
18%
10%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
CAV
2 - 0
VIC
73%
18%
10%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
VIC
0 - 1
GEL
50%
25%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |