Melfi vs US Vibonese Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
REG
2 - 1
ASM
50%
26%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ASM
0 - 0
AKR
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 1
ASM
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ASM
1 - 0
FCC
32%
27%
42%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CAT
0 - 2
ASM
79%
15%
6%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
US Vibonese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
USV
2 - 2
MON
28%
27%
46%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
USV
1 - 0
FIA
16%
25%
59%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
REG
0 - 0
USV
61%
23%
16%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
USV
2 - 0
FRA
14%
25%
61%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SIR
4 - 1
USV
77%
16%
7%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -1 |