Melfi vs US Vibonese Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PRG
2 - 0
ASM
82%
14%
5%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 2
FAN
47%
25%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
FCC
2 - 0
ASM
64%
22%
15%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ASM
1 - 3
APR
47%
23%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ARZ
2 - 2
ASM
65%
20%
15%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
US Vibonese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
USV
0 - 1
LAQ
24%
26%
50%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
FON
2 - 1
USV
49%
24%
27%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
USV
0 - 1
NEA
40%
25%
35%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
RAA
0 - 0
USV
61%
23%
16%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
USV
3 - 2
ACI
41%
28%
31%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |