Melfi vs US Vibonese Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
10.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
MAT
2 - 1
ASM
57%
23%
20%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ASM
4 - 0
FCC
72%
18%
10%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
ASM
1 - 2
TRA
30%
26%
44%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
FON
3 - 2
ASM
44%
25%
31%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
POM
1 - 0
ASM
51%
24%
25%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
US Vibonese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
USV
0 - 2
ACI
44%
26%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
TRA
1 - 0
USV
81%
14%
6%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
USV
1 - 1
FON
35%
26%
39%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
VIG
2 - 0
USV
67%
21%
13%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
BRI
0 - 0
USV
72%
17%
10%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |