Melfi vs US Vibonese Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
33.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
RAA
1 - 0
ASM
20%
24%
56%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ASM
1 - 2
SSS
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
GEL
1 - 0
ASM
48%
27%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
ASM
2 - 3
REA
36%
28%
37%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
VAL
5 - 0
ASM
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
US Vibonese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
USV
1 - 2
COS
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
GEL
1 - 1
USV
46%
27%
27%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
USV
2 - 1
PES
38%
27%
35%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
FCC
1 - 1
USV
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
USV
0 - 0
MON
32%
26%
41%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |