Melfi vs Trapani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
43.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
FON
3 - 2
ASM
44%
25%
31%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
POM
1 - 0
ASM
51%
24%
25%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
ASM
1 - 1
BRI
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
NEA
1 - 3
ASM
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
ASM
4 - 1
ACI
74%
17%
10%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Trapani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
TRA
1 - 1
POM
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
TRA
2 - 1
FCC
81%
14%
6%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
MAT
2 - 1
TRA
27%
27%
46%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -2 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
TRA
0 - 0
AVE
37%
26%
38%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
FON
1 - 3
TRA
26%
26%
48%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | +1 |