Melfi vs Teramo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
53.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
APR
4 - 4
ASM
49%
25%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
NUO
1 - 0
ASM
81%
14%
6%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ASM
0 - 0
USP
44%
26%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 1
ASM
52%
25%
24%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ASM
0 - 0
USF
15%
21%
64%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Teramo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
TER
2 - 0
CHI
74%
17%
9%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 4
TER
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
TER
2 - 0
ISC
35%
26%
38%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +3 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
GAV
2 - 2
TER
31%
25%
43%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
TER
2 - 2
TUT
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |