Melfi vs Cassino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
SIR
2 - 0
ASM
69%
20%
12%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ASM
3 - 2
SSS
60%
22%
18%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
RAA
0 - 2
ASM
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
ASM
3 - 0
SSB
47%
25%
29%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
BRI
3 - 0
ASM
71%
18%
12%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Cassino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
SSC
0 - 1
ACI
48%
25%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ASN
0 - 1
SSC
41%
26%
33%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
SSC
1 - 2
VIC
51%
25%
25%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
FCC
2 - 1
SSC
64%
22%
14%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
SSC
1 - 0
SSM
57%
24%
18%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |