Melfi vs Barletta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
BRI
3 - 0
ASM
71%
18%
12%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
FCC
2 - 0
ASM
67%
21%
13%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
ASM
1 - 2
ACI
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
JUS
2 - 1
ASM
67%
21%
13%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
ASM
2 - 2
ASN
62%
22%
17%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
SSB
4 - 2
FCI
69%
20%
12%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
SSB
0 - 0
SIR
20%
24%
56%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
MON
0 - 1
SSB
47%
25%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
SSB
0 - 2
SSC
50%
25%
25%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
BRI
2 - 2
SSB
73%
18%
9%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |