Melfi vs Sorrento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
57.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
USV
4 - 2
ASM
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
ASM
0 - 4
FCI
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
COS
3 - 0
ASM
68%
20%
13%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
ASM
1 - 1
NOC
45%
26%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
BEN
0 - 0
ASM
56%
25%
20%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sorrento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
SOR
2 - 0
FCC
56%
24%
19%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
REA
1 - 2
SOR
29%
26%
46%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
SOR
2 - 1
PRO
70%
18%
11%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
FCC
1 - 3
SOR
13%
22%
65%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
SOR
2 - 1
USV
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |