Melfi vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
43.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FIA
1 - 0
ASM
66%
21%
13%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ASM
2 - 2
FON
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
NUO
3 - 0
ASM
63%
24%
14%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ASM
1 - 3
LEC
15%
23%
63%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
JUS
4 - 0
ASM
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SIR
0 - 2
LEC
18%
24%
59%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
JUS
2 - 0
SIR
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
SIR
1 - 1
MON
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
TAR
0 - 0
SIR
36%
26%
39%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
SIR
1 - 2
USF
18%
23%
59%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |