Melfi vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
64.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
SSS
1 - 0
ASM
39%
26%
36%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ASM
2 - 2
RAA
48%
25%
28%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
SSB
2 - 1
ASM
56%
23%
21%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -3 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ASM
3 - 3
BRI
17%
24%
60%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ASM
2 - 1
FCI
45%
27%
28%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
SIR
2 - 3
JUS
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
USV
1 - 3
SIR
11%
20%
70%
|
54 | 24 | 30 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
SIR
1 - 0
ACI
82%
13%
5%
|
55 | 22 | 33 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ASN
0 - 1
SIR
13%
21%
66%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
SIR
3 - 0
FCC
82%
13%
5%
|
57 | 21 | 36 | -1 |