Melfi vs Real Agro Aversa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
15%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
5.8%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
GAV
0 - 4
ASM
57%
23%
21%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ASM
2 - 1
CAM
38%
28%
34%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
BOR
2 - 0
ASM
52%
25%
23%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ASM
1 - 0
ASD
46%
27%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
APR
2 - 0
ASM
56%
24%
20%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Real Agro Aversa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
RAA
0 - 0
TER
9%
19%
73%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
RAA
1 - 5
APR
10%
20%
70%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ASD
4 - 0
RAA
81%
14%
5%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
RAA
1 - 3
CAM
14%
24%
62%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
PON
3 - 1
RAA
82%
14%
4%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | 0 |