Melfi vs Real Agro Aversa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
AVE
2 - 1
ASM
79%
15%
7%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ASM
2 - 2
LAT
37%
25%
39%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
MIL
2 - 1
ASM
68%
19%
13%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ASM
2 - 0
USV
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
MAT
2 - 1
ASM
57%
23%
20%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Real Agro Aversa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
RAA
3 - 0
FCC
71%
19%
11%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
FON
2 - 2
RAA
45%
26%
30%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
RAA
1 - 2
TRA
31%
27%
42%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
NEA
0 - 0
RAA
42%
26%
32%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
RAA
3 - 0
VIG
45%
26%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |