Melfi vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
60.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 0
ASM
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ASM
0 - 0
MES
43%
28%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
PAG
2 - 2
ASM
56%
25%
19%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
RAA
0 - 0
ASM
29%
27%
44%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ASM
2 - 2
BEN
6%
17%
77%
|
39 | 69 | 30 | +1 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
REG
1 - 1
RAA
81%
14%
5%
|
57 | 31 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
NUO
0 - 0
REG
16%
23%
61%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VIG
4 - 0
REG
15%
24%
62%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
REG
1 - 1
LRO
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 0
REG
26%
26%
47%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |