Melfi vs Progreditur Marcianise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
PRO
1 - 2
ASM
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
ASM
0 - 4
UDI
9%
18%
73%
|
44 | 85 | 41 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
MOD
0 - 1
ASM
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
ASM
3 - 2
COS
23%
26%
51%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
PRO
2 - 1
ASM
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Progreditur Marcianise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
REA
2 - 1
VIG
52%
25%
24%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
PRO
2 - 2
REA
58%
23%
20%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
REA
2 - 1
POT
39%
26%
35%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
RIE
2 - 1
REA
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
REA
1 - 0
MOD
64%
21%
16%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |