Melfi vs Progreditur Marcianise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
26.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
VIT
0 - 0
ASM
33%
25%
43%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
ASM
3 - 2
TAR
46%
26%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
RIE
0 - 1
ASM
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
ASM
0 - 0
MOD
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
COS
2 - 1
ASM
68%
20%
13%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Progreditur Marcianise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
REA
2 - 1
FCI
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
VIG
1 - 0
REA
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
REA
0 - 0
LAT
49%
24%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
REA
1 - 1
PRO
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
POT
0 - 1
REA
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |