Melfi vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
39.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SIR
3 - 1
ASM
70%
19%
11%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ASM
1 - 2
FIA
27%
27%
47%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
FON
2 - 1
ASM
73%
17%
11%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
ASM
0 - 2
NUO
26%
26%
49%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
LEC
3 - 1
ASM
77%
16%
7%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
PAG
2 - 0
MES
46%
27%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MON
0 - 2
PAG
56%
24%
21%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
PAG
1 - 2
FCC
44%
27%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
PAG
1 - 1
FIA
29%
28%
44%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 0
PAG
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |