Melfi vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
FCI
0 - 3
ASM
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
ASM
0 - 0
ASC
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
VIG
1 - 4
ASM
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
ASM
1 - 0
LAT
26%
24%
50%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +3 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
GAL
2 - 2
ASM
73%
17%
11%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2005 |
NOC
3 - 2
REA
35%
26%
39%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
VIT
2 - 2
NOC
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
NOC
1 - 1
COS
25%
30%
45%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
ASA
1 - 1
NOC
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
NOC
2 - 2
SSC
47%
25%
28%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |