Melfi vs Monopoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
40.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
USV
1 - 1
ASM
39%
29%
33%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ASM
3 - 0
REG
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
AKR
1 - 1
ASM
72%
17%
10%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ASM
0 - 1
FRA
42%
27%
31%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FCC
2 - 2
ASM
52%
26%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
NUO
2 - 1
MON
50%
27%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
USV
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
FRA
0 - 0
MON
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MON
2 - 2
FCC
56%
23%
20%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
USF
4 - 1
MON
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |