Melfi vs Monopoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
42.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
USV
1 - 2
ASM
54%
25%
22%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ASM
2 - 0
RAA
52%
24%
24%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
SSS
2 - 0
ASM
49%
25%
26%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
FCI
1 - 1
ASM
54%
26%
21%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ASM
1 - 2
COS
34%
28%
38%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
ASA
59%
23%
18%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
GEL
0 - 0
MON
55%
25%
20%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
MON
2 - 3
PES
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
VIG
2 - 2
MON
27%
26%
48%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
MON
4 - 1
FCI
56%
24%
20%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |