Melfi vs Modica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
COS
2 - 1
ASM
68%
20%
13%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
ASM
0 - 0
PRO
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2005 |
SSC
0 - 3
ASM
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
ASM
1 - 0
ASA
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
POT
2 - 1
ASM
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Modica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
MOD
2 - 1
VIT
41%
26%
33%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
ASC
1 - 1
MOD
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
MOD
0 - 0
REA
24%
25%
51%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
MOD
0 - 1
VIT
45%
25%
30%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
GAL
2 - 1
MOD
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |