Melfi vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
29.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
PAG
2 - 2
ASM
56%
25%
19%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
RAA
0 - 0
ASM
29%
27%
44%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ASM
2 - 2
BEN
6%
17%
77%
|
39 | 69 | 30 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SAL
0 - 0
ASM
81%
14%
5%
|
38 | 62 | 24 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
ASM
1 - 2
VIG
51%
26%
23%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MES
1 - 0
VIG
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
JUS
1 - 1
MES
81%
13%
6%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
MES
3 - 1
LEC
9%
20%
72%
|
38 | 73 | 35 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MES
1 - 5
CAS
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
PAG
1 - 0
MES
56%
25%
19%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |