Melfi vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
40%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 2
ASM
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ASM
1 - 1
CAS
40%
26%
34%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
TER
0 - 2
ASM
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ASM
2 - 1
APR
37%
26%
37%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ASM
0 - 1
NUO
20%
24%
57%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MES
4 - 2
GAV
75%
17%
9%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
NUO
0 - 0
MES
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
MES
2 - 0
CHI
65%
21%
14%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
USP
1 - 2
MES
30%
28%
42%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
USF
1 - 2
MES
68%
19%
12%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |