Melfi vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
43.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
JUS
2 - 0
ASM
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
ASM
3 - 0
LRO
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
LEC
4 - 1
ASM
85%
12%
3%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ASM
1 - 0
CAS
37%
27%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SSB
0 - 0
ASM
56%
25%
20%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MAT
0 - 0
ISC
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
BEN
3 - 3
MAT
71%
20%
9%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2014 |
MAT
3 - 1
MAR
67%
21%
12%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
USF
0 - 0
MAT
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
MAT
2 - 0
FCS
55%
23%
21%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |