Melfi vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
FCC
0 - 1
ASM
57%
24%
19%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
TRA
1 - 0
ASM
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
ASM
2 - 1
FON
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
ASM
2 - 2
FCC
41%
27%
32%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
ACI
0 - 1
ASM
38%
26%
36%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
MAT
3 - 0
FON
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
VIG
1 - 0
MAT
56%
23%
21%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
MAT
1 - 1
LAT
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
MAT
3 - 1
OSP
49%
25%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
ISC
3 - 1
MAT
32%
26%
42%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -2 |