Melfi vs Lupa Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
LEC
4 - 1
ASM
85%
12%
3%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ASM
1 - 0
CAS
37%
27%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SSB
0 - 0
ASM
56%
25%
20%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
ASM
2 - 0
REG
16%
24%
61%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | +3 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 0
ASM
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lupa Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
LRO
0 - 4
SAL
21%
25%
54%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
VIG
2 - 2
LRO
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
LRO
1 - 0
ISC
61%
22%
18%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2014 |
USF
1 - 0
LRO
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
JUS
2 - 0
LRO
69%
19%
13%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -2 |