Melfi vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
62.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
JUS
4 - 0
ASM
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ASM
1 - 0
CAS
28%
27%
45%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ASM
2 - 1
FON
51%
26%
23%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
TAR
2 - 1
ASM
50%
27%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
ASM
0 - 0
MAR
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
LEC
4 - 1
AKR
68%
21%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
LEC
17%
24%
59%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
GEN
3 - 2
LEC
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
ASC
2 - 2
LEC
37%
24%
39%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
LEC
2 - 1
AVI
75%
16%
8%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |