Melfi vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
59.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MON
2 - 1
ASM
32%
28%
40%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ISC
1 - 0
ASM
36%
29%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ASM
3 - 0
BEN
20%
24%
56%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
USF
1 - 0
ASM
59%
24%
17%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ASM
1 - 1
LCR
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
LEC
1 - 0
ISC
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
USF
4 - 0
LEC
23%
26%
51%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
LEC
0 - 0
CAT
32%
28%
41%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
LEC
12%
21%
66%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LEC
1 - 1
CAS
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |