Melfi vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
67.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 3
ASM
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ASM
3 - 0
SSB
34%
28%
38%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +3 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
REG
2 - 1
ASM
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ASM
0 - 0
MAR
45%
27%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
MES
1 - 2
ASM
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
LEC
1 - 0
BEN
49%
25%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
FCC
2 - 1
LEC
25%
27%
49%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
LEC
3 - 0
RAA
84%
12%
4%
|
67 | 40 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
NUO
1 - 0
LEC
13%
23%
64%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
LEC
0 - 1
SAL
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |