Melfi vs Real Giulianova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
ASM
53%
26%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
ASM
0 - 0
RAA
50%
25%
25%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
FON
1 - 1
ASM
43%
25%
33%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ASM
1 - 2
ACI
56%
24%
20%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ASM
1 - 0
EBO
23%
23%
54%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Real Giulianova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
PAG
2 - 1
GIU
73%
19%
8%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
GIU
2 - 1
ACI
49%
27%
25%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MIL
0 - 1
GIU
62%
22%
17%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
GIU
0 - 1
PRG
16%
25%
59%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
RAA
0 - 2
GIU
56%
24%
20%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |