Melfi vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
VIG
0 - 1
ASM
45%
26%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ASM
0 - 0
SOR
16%
22%
62%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
ASM
0 - 1
CAS
37%
27%
36%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ISC
1 - 2
ASM
71%
19%
10%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ASM
3 - 3
ARZ
65%
22%
14%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
GAV
0 - 0
RAA
45%
26%
30%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
USP
1 - 0
GAV
49%
25%
26%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
GAV
3 - 2
TUT
40%
24%
36%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 0
GAV
57%
23%
20%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
GAV
0 - 3
NUO
15%
21%
65%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -1 |