Melfi vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
35.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 0
CHI
28%
27%
46%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
USP
1 - 0
ASM
57%
24%
19%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 2
FOL
14%
20%
65%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
VIG
1 - 1
ASM
62%
22%
16%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 1
TER
17%
22%
61%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
GAV
0 - 0
ASD
37%
26%
37%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
RAA
1 - 3
GAV
36%
25%
39%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
GAV
1 - 2
ARZ
60%
21%
20%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
TER
0 - 0
GAV
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
GAV
0 - 0
VIG
38%
26%
36%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |