Melfi vs Fondi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
TAR
2 - 1
ASM
50%
27%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
ASM
0 - 0
MAR
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
ASM
37%
28%
35%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
FCC
1 - 0
ASM
51%
27%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ASM
2 - 2
AKR
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fondi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
FRA
0 - 1
FON
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
TAR
1 - 2
FON
60%
23%
17%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
FON
2 - 1
NAR
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
RPO
2 - 1
FON
44%
23%
33%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FON
3 - 3
SSE
67%
17%
17%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |