Melfi vs Fondi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
ASM
2 - 2
FCC
41%
27%
32%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
ACI
0 - 1
ASM
38%
26%
36%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ASM
1 - 2
JUS
29%
27%
45%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ASN
1 - 0
ASM
35%
26%
39%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ASM
1 - 1
40%
25%
36%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fondi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
ARZ
1 - 2
FON
31%
26%
44%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
FON
2 - 2
ATL
63%
21%
17%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
BUD
2 - 0
FON
41%
25%
34%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
FON
1 - 0
POM
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
CYN
3 - 0
FON
22%
24%
54%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -2 |