Melfi vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
65.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
VIG
1 - 1
ASM
62%
22%
16%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 1
TER
17%
22%
61%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
APR
1 - 1
ASM
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ASM
0 - 1
ARZ
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 0
VIG
30%
27%
43%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 3
APR
66%
21%
14%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
FOL
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 1
SPA
30%
28%
43%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
FOL
57%
24%
20%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
ASS
2 - 1
FOL
50%
24%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |