Melfi vs Igea Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
28.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
COS
1 - 1
ASM
66%
21%
13%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ASM
1 - 2
SSB
43%
26%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ASA
4 - 2
ASM
46%
27%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ASM
2 - 2
ACI
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
FCC
1 - 2
ASM
60%
24%
16%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
FCI
2 - 1
MON
40%
28%
33%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
PES
1 - 0
FCI
55%
25%
21%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
FCI
1 - 1
SSS
51%
26%
23%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
VIG
0 - 1
FCI
30%
29%
41%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
SSM
1 - 0
FCI
40%
28%
32%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |