Melfi vs Igea Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
ASA
2 - 3
ASM
45%
27%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
ASM
1 - 1
BEN
28%
29%
44%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
ASC
2 - 1
ASM
58%
24%
18%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
PES
0 - 0
ASM
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
ASM
1 - 0
TUR
43%
26%
32%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
SSS
0 - 1
FCI
31%
27%
43%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
FCI
1 - 1
USV
41%
26%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
BEN
1 - 0
FCI
56%
27%
17%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
FCI
0 - 1
FCC
43%
29%
29%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
MON
0 - 1
FCI
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |