Melfi vs Igea Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
COS
3 - 0
ASM
68%
20%
13%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
ASM
1 - 1
NOC
45%
26%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
BEN
0 - 0
ASM
56%
25%
20%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
ASA
1 - 0
ASM
45%
26%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
ASM
0 - 1
GEL
25%
25%
51%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
POT
0 - 0
FCI
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
FCI
2 - 1
GEL
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
NOC
2 - 0
FCI
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
FCI
1 - 1
BEN
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
FCI
1 - 3
FCC
79%
14%
7%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | -1 |