Melfi vs Igea Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
ASC
0 - 0
ASM
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
ASM
3 - 1
VIG
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
LAT
1 - 1
ASM
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
ASM
1 - 2
GAL
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
VIT
1 - 0
ASM
22%
24%
54%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
FCI
2 - 0
MOD
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
SSC
1 - 1
FCI
55%
23%
21%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
VIG
2 - 2
FCI
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
FCI
1 - 1
LAT
39%
26%
35%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
ASC
2 - 0
FCI
61%
22%
18%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |