Melfi vs FC Celano Marsica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.9%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
MIL
3 - 1
ASM
57%
23%
20%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ASM
2 - 0
GIU
49%
25%
26%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
ASM
53%
26%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
ASM
0 - 0
RAA
50%
25%
25%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
FON
1 - 1
ASM
43%
25%
33%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Celano Marsica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
FCC
3 - 5
USV
37%
27%
36%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FAN
3 - 2
FCC
61%
22%
16%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 0
LAQ
18%
23%
58%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 0
FCC
77%
16%
6%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
FCC
0 - 2
CAM
26%
27%
47%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |